# Reproduce the illustrative VAR and GARCH in Stock and Watson, # "Introduction to Econometrics", chapter 14 open sw_ch14.gdt # set the robust std errors variant used by S and W set force_hc on set hc_version 1 series infl = 400 * log(PUNEW/PUNEW(-1)) diff infl lags d_infl LHUR smpl 1962:1 1999:4 # run "automatic" VAR, (see equations 14.5 and 14.6) var 4 d_infl LHUR const -r # for comparison, try one equation manually ols LHUR const d_infl(-1 to -4) LHUR(-1 to -4) -r # Test for Granger causality of unemployment by inflation omit d_infl(-1 to -4) --test-only # GARCH model garch 1 1 ; d_infl const d_infl(-1 to -4) LHUR(-1 to -4) -r --vcv